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Messages - godoftrading

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106
Trading Strategies from the Street / Cramer says to sell rally
« on: December 09, 2008, 10:07:59 AM »
Last night on Mad Money he told his viewers to sell.

Who's looking to buy the dip? :)

107
Trading Strategies from the Street / MOO... good long?
« on: December 09, 2008, 09:28:27 AM »
Do you guys think MOO is a great long term buy?

108
Trading Strategies from the Street / Obama's Stimulus
« on: December 08, 2008, 12:20:09 PM »
Every time Obama speaks about his stimulus plan, the market rallies. His stimulus will create jobs, at least that's what he is aiming for. Gotta hand it to him, he is a man of action. I like the guy. At least he is trying. He is a very pragmatic man.

109
Trading Strategies from the Street / Citadel down 47% YTD
« on: December 08, 2008, 11:52:13 AM »
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aon5iPboyGaU&refer=home

Citadel Funds Lose 13% in November, 47% This Year

By Saijel Kishan and Katherine Burton

Dec. 4 (Bloomberg) -- Citadel Investment Group LLC, the Chicago-based hedge-fund firm run by Kenneth Griffin, lost 13 percent in November, bringing the decline for the year to 47 percent, according to two people familiar with the matter.

Losses at the Citadel’s two biggest funds came from investments in convertible bonds, high-yield bonds and bank loans, and investment-grade bonds, which were hedged with credit default swaps that protect the buyer in the event of a default. These same wagers started the funds’ tumble in mid-September.

“Digging out of this hole may be tough for them,” given the lack of trading in the credit markets, said Michael Rosen, principal at Santa Monica, California-based Angeles Investment Advisors LLC, which advises clients on hedge-fund investments.

The Kensington and Wellington funds, which together manage $10 billion in assets, have received requests from investors who want to withdraw about $1 billion by the end of the year, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private.

Griffin, 40, had posted just one losing year since starting the firm in 1990, dropping 4 percent in 1994. Katie Spring, a spokeswoman for Citadel, declined to comment on the returns, which were reported earlier today by the Wall Street Journal on its Web site.

The hedge-fund industry has posted its worst performance on record this year, with average losses of about 22 percent this year through November, according to data compiled by Chicago- based Hedge Fund Research Inc.

The Citadel funds have made money in stocks and on so-called macro trades -- wagers on stock indexes, bonds, commodities and currencies based on macroeconomic trends.

Three other Citadel funds, whose returns are tied to the firm’s market-making business, have climbed about 40 percent this year. Those funds manage about $3 billion.

Even with Citadel’s drop in assets, the firm has not breached the terms of its contracts with lenders, one of the people said.

110
Trading Strategies from the Street / Peak Oil
« on: December 05, 2008, 09:11:51 AM »
If you believe peak oil has been reached or only couple of years away at most, what stocks/industries would you be long and/or short right now? My choices are long solar, coal, oil services, independents and short airlines, cruise lines,trucking companies, chemical companies, refineries. Did I miss anything noteworthy? What are your favorite industries for short and long? and why? And hen would you enter?

111
Trading Strategies from the Street / AT&T cutting 12,000 jobs
« on: December 04, 2008, 12:13:56 PM »
AT&T said Thursday it'll take a $600 million charge in its fiscal fourth quarter as part of a plan to cut 12,000 jobs, or 4% of the Dallas-based telecommunication giant's work force. AT&T also plans to cut its 2009 capital expenditures over 2008 levels, with a specific dollar figure to be announced in January. "While AT&T is reducing jobs in some areas, it continues to add jobs in other parts of the business -- such as wireless, video and broadband -- to meet customer demand," the company said. AT&T cited economic pressures, a changing business mix and a more streamlined organizational structucture for the layoffs.

http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={22F4AE5F-D6DF-4D10-B850-D15CF7E55E42}

113
Why isn't the media & the loudmouths complaining about speculators betting oil will go down?? I guess speculators are OK sometimes, eh?

114
Trading Strategies from the Street / UBS makes ridiculous market prediction
« on: December 03, 2008, 01:02:23 PM »
Stocks to rise in ’09, UBS says; S&P 500 may gain 53% - Bloomberg.com

Bloomberg.com reports global stocks will withstand a "full-blown" recession and surge in 2009 as cheap valuations and efforts by governments to restore confidence in the financial system lure investors back to equities, UBS said. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index may rally 53% to 1,300 by the end of 2009, David Bianco wrote in a note dated yesterday. The New York-based strategist, who a year ago predicted a 2008 advance of 16% for the S&P 500, is now forecasting a gain that would exceed the index's best annual performance on record.

After being so wrong in 2008,they are coming out with this ridiculous prediction! why make such a forecast,has'nt abby joseph cohen taught them anything about wild predictions?

115
Trading Strategies from the Street / RIMM lowers guidence
« on: December 03, 2008, 11:03:00 AM »
Research In Motion lowers Q309 revenue and EPS guidance (37.32 ) : Co issues downside guidance for Q3 (Nov), sees EPS of $0.81-0.83, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.91 First Call consensus; sees Q3 (Nov) revs of $2.75-2.78 bln vs. $2.96 bln consensus. Preliminary revenue is lower than the previously forecasted revenue range of $2.95-$3.10 bln.

AAPL will be hit hard on this news IMHO

116
Trading Strategies from the Street / Housing Bailout
« on: December 02, 2008, 11:16:56 AM »
TOL, PHM, BZH

This one really irks me. Are these guys serious? They act like their companies are on the verge of collapse. That couldn't be further from the truth. The nature of this business is cyclical.

Haven't they learned this yet??? And if they can't make it through 1 recession then they shouldn't be around.

This is the last sector of companies that needs to be bailed out from a financial standpoint.

117
Trading Strategies from the Street / Investing in Asia
« on: December 02, 2008, 09:50:21 AM »
Where are you guys putting your long term buys in this region? China? Japan?

118
Trading Strategies from the Street / Thoughts on Yahoo
« on: December 01, 2008, 11:00:13 AM »
And recent Icahn stock purchases, given that Microsoft was willing to pay $30+ a share 6 months is kinda saying something to me.

Your thoughts?

119
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/
Note the US/Japan comparable chart......

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